midweek Oct 3-6

[rolltide]

56-40-1 +57.40
408.58 out -> 465.98 in (+14%)

Brazil Serie B - all odds/bets from pinnacle who limit $200/bet thus all are 2/10 stake

Santo Andre vs Avai - both teams with 3-4 starters out but have to side with the form here. Teams separated by just a point and this match is desperation for both sides. Avai are a mess away from home with 6 straight defeats, 0-0-6 16/4, while Santo Andre need to break out of their crazy draw streak (have drawn 5 of last 6). Santo Andre very strong at home unbeaten in 10, 7-3-0, and must win matches against this level of traveller if they are to make the playoffs. Santo Andre 2/10 @1.901

Brasiliense vs Remo - Brasiliense were the favorites, along with Atl-MG, and they've lingered in midtable but showing life recently. They are 3-0-1 in last 4 and 3-0-1 L4 at home (10-0-2 L12 at home). Remo have climbed just above relegation with a 4-0-1 streak of their own but they are a miserable traveler, 1-1-8 last 9, and a point will be tough to come by in Brasilia. Brasiliense 2/10 @1.901

America-RN vs Sao Raimundo - Sao Rai are usually pretty easy to cap ... they are an Amazon team that usually wins easily at home and gets destroyed away. They've not exactly hung to that this season, but not far off as they have just 8 road points in 13 matches. When you look a bit deeper you'll see those 8 points gained were against an out-of-form Avai, relegation candidates Lusa and Ituano, and the incredible draw against Coritiba. Their current road streak of 1-1-2 is actually phenomenal for them when you consider they are 2-11-43 in ALL OTHER road games since 2002. America-RN are a very solid team though miss 3 regulars for this match. They've won 11 of last 12 home games and must win to stay near the top 4. America-RN -1 goal 2/10 @2.08

 

[acez29]

It seems like you are betting money lines, and you say that you are using the lines from pinny. I am looking at pinny's lines and am only seeing spreads, not money lines. are you not in the U.S. or can see money lines or something?

I am also seeing a limit of 714.29 USD for the spread, money line, and total goals although only the spread line has betting options.

You have been a great poster and was just wondering how you were doing these bets. i would love to follow your plays if I could follow them accurately.

 

[rolltide]

If by money lines you mean stake returned with draw that is NOT what I am betting. I am not betting money lines, I am betting Santo Andre and Brasiliense each at -1/2 goal and America-RN at -1 goal HC... MY LIMIT is $200 at pinn, yours may be different. MY UNIT is $100 thus I could only get down for 2 units so I am betting $200 on each of the above.

If I were betting a ML I would be listing the handicap as "PK" (as in pick em)

 

[acez29]

Thanks for clearing that up. Last night I was looking at the odds and they were different from yours, I wasn't expecting much line movement in soccer. I woke up this morning and checked the lines and there have been some big jumps, wasn't expecting that.

I wonder why your pinny limits are so low. Think they have you marked as a pro?

 

[rolltide]

Corinthians vs Santos - Thursday - hard to ignore the numbers on this one as Timao have played nine straight games under 2.5 goals, 5 in a row at home. Santos are the top defensive club in Brazil allowing just under 1 gpg and have played 4 of last 5 road games under 2.5 goals. The last two games b/w them have produced 2-0 and 1-0 Santos wins and the Peixe have to play without attackers Reinaldo, Geilson and Jonas and most likely without playmaker Maldonado who has been called up by Chile. Timao look to play a 3-6-1 as they have some problems in the back to cover up so just don't see much offense being produced. Timao's last 3 derbies have been real yawners this year with 0-0 at Sao Paulo, 0-1 at Palmeiras, 0-2 at Santos and no reason to expect different Thursday. Timao/Santos under 2.5 goals 4/10 @1.85 (pinn)

 

[rolltide]

Parana vs Ponte Preta - Wed - top 5 vs bottom 5 and a clear home win for me. Parana after weeks off missing their offensive pieces have the big trio of Sandro, Leonardo, and Maicossuel back in the lineup which is the trio that basically won the state championship for them. Remember they are back in their true home and in 1st match they defeated Fortaleza 2-0. Forta have to be thought of on same par as Ponte except they are a much better away club yet Parana had no trouble with them. Ponte in some brutal road form, failing to score in 4 of last 5 matches. Parana promises an offensive match to pressure Ponte's league worst defense as they did back in May when Ponte were hammered at home 5-2 by Parana. Ponte's last trip to Coritiba ended in a 3-0 defeat to Atletico-PR and that seems like a logical score for this one. Parana -1 goal 6/10 @2.08 (olympic/xyzbet.com, 2.06 10bet/pinn)

 

[Betting4Fun]

Parlayed Brasiliense and America ML thanks to your review
and got a nice win,Thanks a lot!

 

[fhmesq44]

Nice day, cashed all 3 of them with you. Many thanks.

 

[Soprano]

Thanks!!! You swept the board yesterday. Keep it up!!!!

 

[Hooligans]

Any picks for today Soprano? :toast: If i had any i would post but seems like another slow day in the world of soccer :toast:

 

[Betting4Fun]

Parana vs Ponte Preta

Cashed this one too thanks to your post,thank you very much.
Parlayed it with another game and it worked out.

 

[rolltide]

midweek 2-1-2 -.40
Santo Andre won
Brasiliense won
America-RN push
Timao under lost
Parana push

58-41-3 +57.00
424.58 out -> 481.58 in (13.4%)